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What are your Steam wishlists worth?

The honest answer is a range. Community-reported first-week conversion runs about 10% to 28% of launch wishlists, with a median near 16% Community launch benchmarks (GDCo/HTMAG public figures) · 2025 — and genre, price and the demo you shipped move it more than any calculator can know. Anyone who gives you one number is selling certainty they don't have.

Wishlists at launch Price (USD)

First-week units (estimate): —

First-week gross (estimate, before Steam's cut, refunds and VAT): —

Modeled net to you: — (gross − ~8% refunds − 30% Steam share − ~12% VAT mix — a model, not your ledger)

How to read this

• The band is the answer. A 10k-wishlist launch at $14.99 is a real spread of outcomes, not one number missed or hit.
• Conversion concentrates around the launch discount window — the first visibility round is the strongest you'll get for a year.
• Wishlists keep converting after week one: community figures put year-one conversion near 3–4× the first week.

Track your real wishlist velocity on GameTrend → How we estimate (methodology)

Estimates are statistical inferences from public data and community-reported figures. They are not sourced from Valve or the developer. Do not rely on them for investment or contractual decisions.